PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Up 99%+60.1pt
Qualite du marche
78 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
16,3 k €
Liquidité
18,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
98.0% / 99.2%
Spread
1.2 pt
Spread serréComments
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
20 août 26, 12:0021 août 26, 20:00
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on August 21, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on August 21, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
- If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
Marchés ouverts
EquitiesPOLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 101,8 k €
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Aug 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 28,030 or above99%
- 28,730 or above97%
- 28,710 or above97%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 50,7 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIS&P price on Aug 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 7,575 or above99%
- 7,570 or above99%
- 7,580 or above99%
+67 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 42 k €
- Volume 24h
- 42 k €
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 21?
- Up+32.0pt82%
- Down-32.0pt18%
- Volume total
- 37,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 37,6 k €
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 8,000 to 8,199.9915.4%
- 7,800 to 7,999.9912.7%
- 8,200 to 8,399.99-1.0pt10%
+24 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 5,2 M €
- Volume 24h
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Aug 21, 2026 at 11am EDT?
- 29,070 or above81%
- 29,100 or above71%
- 28,950 or above69%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 31,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 21?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- S&P price on Aug 21, 2026 at 11am EDT?
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- S&P price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 21? ?
- Polymarket cote Up à 99% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 21? sera-t-il résolu ?
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 21? doit être résolu le 21 août 2026.
- Comment SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 21? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on August 21, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day.