Probabilité implicite actuelle
Up 98%+48.0pt
Qualite du marche
83 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
59,1 k €
Liquidité
22,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
97.7% / 98.3%
Spread
0.6 pt
Spread serréComments
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
20 août 26, 12:0021 août 26, 20:00
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, August 21, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, August 21, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
- If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
- If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
Marchés ouverts
Exchange
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+69.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+61.0pt99%
- $71,000 or above+42.0pt99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 M €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on August 21?
- 52,000100%
- 54,000100%
- 56,000100%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
KALSHIHow high will BTC get in August?
- Above $75,000.00+59.0pt99%
- Above $72,500.00+19.0pt99%
- Above $95,000.0099%
+15 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,2 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 11am EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,100 or above99%
- $74,600 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 401,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 383,5 k €
POLYMARKETBitcoin Up or Down on August 21?
- Up+49.9pt100%
- Down-49.9pt0%
- Volume total
- 303,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 303,3 k €
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+4.6pt11.2%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.9pt11.2%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.7pt10.3%
+25 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Ethereum above ___ on August 21?
- Bitcoin above ___ on August 22?
- ETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Anthropic IPO by __?
- XRP above ___ on August 21?
- Bitcoin price on August 21?
- How high will ETH get in August?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- XRP price at Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin above ___ on August 23?
- BTC price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 21? ?
- Polymarket cote Up à 98% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 21? sera-t-il résolu ?
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 21? doit être résolu le 21 août 2026.
- Comment S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 21? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, August 21, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.