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Données au 8 sept. 2026, 22:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
400K+ 37%+5.5ptEn tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
26 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
855,6 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
58.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-6.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
18 août 26, 14:22 UTC3 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour South Dakota Senate Election: Turnout ?
- Polymarket cote 400K+ à 37% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand South Dakota Senate Election: Turnout sera-t-il résolu ?
- South Dakota Senate Election: Turnout doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment South Dakota Senate Election: Turnout est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota.
- Où South Dakota Senate Election: Turnout est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.