PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Under 74.3%-2.5pt
Qualite du marche
72 / 100
Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h
3,5 k €
Liquidité
5,2 k €
Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serré
Comments
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
20 août 26, 18:266 sept. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Résultat24hProbabilité
Règles
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if BSW wins at least 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if BSW wins less than 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.