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Données au 8 sept. 2026, 23:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
89 km/h or below 50%+1.0ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
0,9 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
98.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
31 août 26, 13:46 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
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GeminiRègles
This market will resolve to the wind-gust range that contains the maximum wind gust, in km/h, recorded in any routine (METAR) or special (SPECI) observation from Wellington Airport (ICAO: NZWN) between September 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
- Wellington, New Zealand is widely recognized as the world's windiest city, and its airport regularly records powerful gusts that make headlines and viral landing videos worldwide.
- The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS").
- Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number.
- Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
- The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=9&mode=monthly&station=NZWN.
Marchés ouverts
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 232,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 227,3 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 186,1 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume total
- 66,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 28,6 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September ?
- Polymarket cote 89 km/h or below à 50% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September sera-t-il résolu ?
- Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to the wind-gust range that contains the maximum wind gust, in km/h, recorded in any routine (METAR) or special (SPECI) observation from Wellington Airport (ICAO: NZWN) between September 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.