PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleRepublican Party 65%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
71 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
14 €
Liquidité
17,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
64.0% / 65.0%
Spread
1.6%
Spread serréVariation 7j
-0.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
28 janv. 26, 21:433 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Republican Party65%
Comparer les plateformes· Republican Party
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 65% | — | 14 € | 17,3 k € | il y a 6 minutes | |
 KalshiLa plus active60% de correspondance · vérifié | Moyenne | 63% | — | 77,8 € | 6,3 k € | il y a 1 minute | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
NY-01 House winner?
3.0%1a
-3.0%63%
34%
60 • Qualité moyenneSpread modéréLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total13,9 k €
Volume 24h77,8 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$162 juil.9j de données10 juil.
Marchés Associés
Presidential Election Winner 2028
962,2 k €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
172,1 k €Robert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Republican presidential nominee
157 k €Donald J. Trump Jr.: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?
141 k €Troy Jackson: 51%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
115,3 k €James Fishback: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Maine Senate winner? (Party)
57,9 k €Republican party: 40%KALSHI
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.