PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democratic Party 88%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
24,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
11.0% / 12.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 27 minutes
16 déc. 25, 17:484 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Democratic Party88%
Comparer les plateformes· Democratic Party
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Faible | 88% | — | 0 € | 24,3 k € | il y a 27 minutes | |
 Kalshi60% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 87% | — | 0 € | 1,5 k € | il y a 27 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
NV-04 House winner?
1a
88.8%
11.2%
49 • Faible qualitéSpread modéréFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total3,2 k €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$0.5714 juil.6j de données21 juil.
Marchés Associés
Ohio Governor winner?
349,6 k €Vivek Ramaswamy: 51%KALSHI
KALSHI
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
241,3 k €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Republican presidential nominee
202,3 k €Donald J. Trump: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
174 k €Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
168,7 k €Donald J. Trump: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
160,6 k €Nicolás Maduro: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.