PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
4.1M-4.3M 30.6%+3.5ptEn tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,4 k €
Liquidité
44,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.8 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-42.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
18 août 26, 14:23 UTC3 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
South Carolina Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketNorth Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketNorth Carolina Senate Election Winner
PolymarketWhich Party will win the 2026 North Carolina senate election?
Manifold MarketsWill Roy Cooper win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election?
Manifold MarketsNorth Carolina's Senate election winner
FutuurRègles
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 606,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 721 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout ?
- Polymarket cote 4.1M-4.3M à 31% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout sera-t-il résolu ?
- North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina.
- Où North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.