PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Péter Magyar (100%)
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Péter Magyar 100%+0.1ptEn tête parmi 26 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
309,3 k €
Liquidité
5 M €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
+0.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 79 jours
Obsolète24 juil. 25, 22:0512 avr. 26, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Péter Magyar100%
Other0%
Person Q0%
Person R0%
Person S0%
Person T0%
Person U0%
Viktor Orbán0%
Person P0%
Klára Dobrev0%
László Toroczkai0%
István Kapitány0%
János Lázár0%
Person C0%
Person D0%
Person E0%
Person F0%
Person G0%
Person H0%
Person I0%
Person J0%
Person K0%
Person L0%
Person M0%
Person N0%
Person O0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· Péter Magyar
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Faible | 100% | — | 309,3 k € | 5 M € | il y a 79 jours | |
 Manifold Markets80% de correspondance · auto | — | 99% | — | — | — | il y a 94 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Fermés
Résolu
Péter Magyar (99.1%)
99.1%
0.7%
0.2%
Prévision communautaire54 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.