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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. IA
  3. New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?
New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

1.6% (24h)IAOne-Off17j
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
June 30
June 30 92%+0.4%
En tête parmi 7 options
Qualite du marche

52 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

1,8 k €

Liquidité

14,6 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

0.3% / 3.9%

Spread

1200.0%

Spread large
Variation 7j

-13.9%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes

30 avr. 26, 0:1430 juin 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
May 31
May 31
0%
May 8
May 8
0%
May 22
May 22
0%

Résultat choisi

June 3092%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google releases or makes available a new Gemini reasoning flagship model to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Qualifying models must be positioned by Google as a next-generation, reasoning-focused flagship within the Gemini model line.
  • For example, qualifying models include newly released or newly made generally available (GA) reasoning-focused flagship models (e.g, Gemini 3.1 GA), or any new Pro, Deep Think, or Ultra variants (e.g., Gemini 3.2 Pro, Gemini 3.4 Deep Think, Gemini 4 Ultra).
  • Models explicitly positioned for speed, efficiency, or low-cost inference that compromise reasoning capability will NOT qualify.
  • This includes, but is not limited to, variants such as Gemini Flash, Flash-lite, Nano, or similar lightweight or latency-optimized models, even if released under a new Gemini version number.

Marchés Associés

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

159,6 k €
Anthropic: 89%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

92,8 k €
↑$1.0T: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Best AI model on June 13?

Best AI model on June 13?

24,2 k €
claude-opus-4-6-thinking: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

6,1 k €
By Dec 31, 2025: 74%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will anthropic be up a week from now?

970,5 €
Oui: 68.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

OpenAI completes an IPO in 2026 and has a market cap of $1 trillion+?

793,9 €
Oui: 46.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$63,650.66+0.04%EthereumETH$1,667.53-0.82%SolanaSOL$66.62-0.50%DogecoinDOGE$0.0875+1.11%BNBBNB$603.93-0.04%XRPXRP$1.13-0.86%

Actualités Associées

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google releases or makes available a new Gemini reasoning flagship model to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Qualifying models must be positioned by Google as a next-generation, reasoning-focused flagship within the Gemini model line.
  • For example, qualifying models include newly released or newly made generally available (GA) reasoning-focused flagship models (e.g, Gemini 3.1 GA), or any new Pro, Deep Think, or Ultra variants (e.g., Gemini 3.2 Pro, Gemini 3.4 Deep Think, Gemini 4 Ultra).
  • Models explicitly positioned for speed, efficiency, or low-cost inference that compromise reasoning capability will NOT qualify.
  • This includes, but is not limited to, variants such as Gemini Flash, Flash-lite, Nano, or similar lightweight or latency-optimized models, even if released under a new Gemini version number.