PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelle<5 82%+11.0%En tête parmi 13 options
Qualite du marche
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,5 k €
Liquidité
13,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
80.0% / 84.0%
Spread
5.0%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
23 juin 26, 4:053 juil. 26, 16:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
<582%
Marchés Associés
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
309,4 €December 31: 23%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
138 k €June 30: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces blockade on Iran by...?
47,8 k €December 31: 37%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israeli Parliament dissolved by…?
597 €June 15 11.59pm ET: 2.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Iranian regime be overthrown?
414,3 €Oui: 7.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2027?
219,5 €Oui: 8.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Hormuz vessel attack lifts oil as Polymarket puts July 15 normalcy at 29.5%Blockchain.News
Hormuz strike jolts Iran-entry market as Polymarket cuts Trump odds to 15%Blockchain.NewsHormuz ship hit lifts risk as Polymarket normal-traffic odds jump to 55%Blockchain.News
Inspection dispute cools US-Iran deal odds to 22.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
Ras Laffan blast spotlights Gulf shipping as Polymarket puts 20+ Hormuz at 99%Blockchain.News
Iran closes Hormuz again as talks restart, Polymarket Yes dips to 39.5%Blockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between June 26, 12:00 PM ET and July 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data".