PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
1.2M-1.25M 27.1%+19.5ptEn tête parmi 10 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
55 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
431,6 €
Liquidité
27,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+25.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
18 août 26, 14:20 UTC3 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Iowa Senate Election Winner
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FutuurRègles
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 112,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 184,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 891,3 k €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Volume total
- 4,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 505,9 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume total
- 25,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 384,3 k €
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Volume total
- 2,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 358,3 k €
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- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Iowa Senate Election: Turnout ?
- Polymarket cote 1.2M-1.25M à 27% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Iowa Senate Election: Turnout sera-t-il résolu ?
- Iowa Senate Election: Turnout doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Iowa Senate Election: Turnout est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa.