Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 51.5%
Qualite du marche
74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
8,4 €
Liquidité
4,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
48.0% / 49.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
-2.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
10 juin 26, 15:4630 août 26, 3:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes49%
Tendance du volume
$103 juil.23j de données27 juil.
Marchés Associés
Berlin State Election Winner
18,9 k €Linke: 33%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
France United Left Primary Winner
9,6 k €Canceled: 94%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
5,7 k €2: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
828,8 €Oui: 7.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
592,9 €Oui: 15.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSMarine Le Pen legally barred from running for French President in 2027?
427 €Oui: 1.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
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The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union.
- This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
- You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.