Ce marché s'est résolu: No 3–6%
Résolu: 31 août 2026, 11:50
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 31 août 2026, 22:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Chronologie des Probabilités
No 3–6%100%
Yes 15%+0%
Yes 12–15%7%
Yes 9–12%0%
Yes 6–9%4%
Yes 3–6%0%
Yes <3%0%
No <3%0%
No 6–9%0%
No 9–12%0%
No 12–15%0%
No 15%+0%
No 3–6%Gagné
Yes 15%+Perdu
Yes 12–15%Perdu
Yes 9–12%Perdu
Yes 6–9%Perdu
Yes 3–6%Perdu
Yes <3%Perdu
No <3%Perdu
No 6–9%Perdu
No 9–12%Perdu
No 12–15%Perdu
No 15%+Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next French Presidential Election
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Spain?
PolymarketNext Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
PolymarketWhich European country will have general elections earlier?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next president of France in 2027 ?
Manifold MarketsRègles
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
- The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No".
- Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
