Ce marché s'est résolu: No 3–6%
Résolu: 31 août 2026, 11:50
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 31 août 2026, 22:00 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
No 3–6% 100%+0.5ptEn tête parmi 12 options
Qualité du marché
47 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
788,6 €
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueÉcart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 jours
Obsolète27 août 26, 16:20 UTC29 août 26, 23:59 UTC
Chronologie des Probabilités
No 3–6%100%
Yes 15%+0%
Yes 12–15%7%
Yes 9–12%0%
Yes 6–9%4%
Yes 3–6%0%
Yes <3%0%
No <3%0%
No 6–9%0%
No 9–12%0%
No 12–15%0%
No 15%+0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
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Manifold MarketsRègles
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
- The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No".
- Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.