How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?
1.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
2 41.8%+1.0ptEn tête parmi 7 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
67 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
8,6 €
Liquidité
53,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+11.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
2 juil. 26, 21:24 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.
- All Gubernatorial elections, and all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress, that are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included.
- Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026.
- Vacant offices for which no election or special election to fill the office is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will not be considered.
- Seats are attributed to the party under which the member or governor was elected.