PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Below 1,028 45%-1.0ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
67 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
175,4 €
Liquidité
5,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 29 minutes
17 août 26, 21:49 UTC16 avr. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How low will Lake Powell drop?
PolymarketLake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026?
KalshiWill Lake Powell and/or Lake Mead reach Dead Pool status in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the temperature in San Jose (SJC Airport) drop below 40°F in December 2026?
KalshiWill human population (on Earth) drop under 6 billion people at any time before 2075?
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market resolves based on the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam) between market creation and March 31, 2027, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation.
- See each individual market for its bracket and full resolution terms.
- Because a lower reading can occur at any point up to March 31, 2027, all outcomes are settled after the window closes, based on the lowest daily elevation recorded during the window.
- The resolution source is the minimum daily lake elevation published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation for Lake Mead at Hoover Dam, available at https://data.usbr.gov/catalog/4370/item/6123.
- USBR data is provisional and subject to revision; the lowest daily elevation reflected in USBR data as of April 15, 2027 governs, and revisions published after April 15, 2027 will not change the outcome.
- Daily elevation data published at https://lakemead.water-data.com/ may also be referenced, but if it disagrees with USBR, the USBR value governs.
Marchés ouverts
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 23, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+29.0pt48.6%
- 80° to 81°+4.0pt39.5%
- 82° to 83°-18.0pt6.4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 303,9 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
- Philadelphia+83.0pt99%
- Miami+11.0pt99%
- Washington DC+10.0pt99%
+25 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+49.0pt52.4%
- 84° to 85°+21.0pt35.2%
- 86° to 87°-26.0pt9.5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 23, 2026?
- 67° to 68°+25.0pt76.2%
- 65° to 66°-8.0pt19.1%
- 69° to 70°-7.0pt1.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 23, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+23.0pt56.7%
- 82° to 83°+29.0pt38.1%
- 84° to 85°-1.0pt2.1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 23, 2026?
- 65° to 66°+27.0pt62.9%
- 67° to 68°-11.0pt17.1%
- 63° to 64°-1.0pt16.2%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 24, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 23, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Madrid on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 23, 2026?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How low will Lake Mead drop? ?
- Polymarket cote Below 1,028 à 45% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand How low will Lake Mead drop? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How low will Lake Mead drop? doit être résolu le 16 avril 2027.
- Comment How low will Lake Mead drop? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves based on the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Mead (Hoover Dam) between market creation and March 31, 2027, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation.