Probabilité implicite actuelle
30-35% 23.5%+3.5ptEn tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
30-35% 23.5%+3.5ptQualité du marché
75 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
378,1 €
Liquidité
89,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-2.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
14 sept. 26, 22:50 UTC8 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory
PolymarketHolborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?
PolymarketWhich party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Manifold MarketsHolborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketWill Labour win the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Manifold MarketsHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Green Party vote percent
KalshiRègles
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
- The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party.
- Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.