Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 95.4%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
16 sept. 26, 13:30 UTC8 oct. 26, 21:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory
PolymarketWhich party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Manifold MarketsHolborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketHolborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?
PolymarketHolborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?
PolymarketHolborn and St Pancras By-Election - Winner
SmarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Labour Party candidate (Sagal Abdi-Wali) wins the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election scheduled for October 8, 2026.
- It will resolve to NO if any other candidate wins the seat.
- The outcome will be verified using the official election results published by Camden Council.
- The 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election was triggered on September 1, 2026, following the resignation of former Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer as the Member of Parliament for the constituency.
- Starmer, who stood down as Prime Minister earlier in 2026, announced he was vacating his parliamentary seat to focus on international affairs.
