PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle32°C 46%+8.5%En tête parmi 11 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
56,1 k €
Liquidité
52,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
23.0% / 26.0%
Spread
13.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
20 juil. 26, 4:0922 juil. 26, 12:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
32°C46%
Tendance du volume
$64.0k20 juil.3j de données22 juil.
Marchés Associés
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 21, 2026?
330,6 k €79° to 80°: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 21, 2026?
308,8 k €81° or above: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 21, 2026?
223,3 k €77° to 78°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 22?
154,3 k €28°C: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in London on July 22?
86 k €25°C: 43%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 83 F on July 21, 2026?
72,2 k €Oui: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEX
Règles
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg.
- C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
- This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.