Probabilité implicite actuelle
77° to 78° 1%-22.0%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
77 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
223 k €
Liquidité
160,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
- / 1.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
20 juil. 26, 14:0022 juil. 26, 8:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
77° to 78°1%
Tendance du volume
$254.4k20 juil.3j de données22 juil.
Marchés Associés
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 22, 2026?
11 k €82° or above: 14%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 21, 2026?
332,1 k €79° to 80°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 21, 2026?
303,7 k €81° or above: 99%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 22?
163,1 k €28°C: 87%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in London on July 22?
90,9 k €25°C: 48%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 83 F on July 21, 2026?
72,2 k €Oui: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXActifs dans ces sujets
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 21, 2026, is less than 75° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.