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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. IA
  3. Grok 4.4 released by...?
Grok 4.4 released by...?

Grok 4.4 released by...?

0.6% (24h)IAOne-Off16j
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
July 31
July 31 70%
En tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche

52 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

619,5 €

Liquidité

7,1 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

0.4% / 1.3%

Spread

225.0%

Spread large
Variation 7j

-17.6%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes

22 mai 26, 17:1830 juin 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
May 31
May 31
0%

Résultat choisi

July 3170%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
  • Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market.
  • Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.

Marchés Associés

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

179,4 k €
Anthropic: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

106,4 k €
↑$1.0T: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

27,4 k €
Anthropic: 89%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

6,1 k €
By Dec 31, 2025: 74%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

When will Anthropic's API customers get access to Fable 5 again?

3,5 k €
Before June 13: 1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Claude Fable 5 be a accessible in a Claude max 20x subscription on June 23 2026?

2,7 k €
Oui: 35%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$64,056.44+0.86%EthereumETH$1,679.28+0.69%SolanaSOL$67.85+1.39%DogecoinDOGE$0.0883+1.48%BNBBNB$607.89+0.22%XRPXRP$1.15+1.15%

Actualités Associées

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
  • Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market.
  • Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.