PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelle≤0.0% 47%+0.5%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
110,1 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
5.0% / 89.0%
Spread
1680.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-1.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
4 mai 26, 15:5230 juil. 26, 6:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
≤0.0%47%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?
880,7 €4.6-4.9%: 84%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
156,5 €2.0–2.5%: 28%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
43,3 €Oui: 21%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
5,1 €-2.4%– -1.6%: 45%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
3,1 €Above 2.5%: 53%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Spain GDP growth rate YoY for Q1 2026
0,3 €Above 3.2%: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
- The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.