PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleThomas Chalifoux 74%+2.5%En tête parmi 21 options
Qualite du marche
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
43,9 €
Liquidité
27,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
72.0% / 76.0%
Spread
5.6%
Spread modéréVariation 7j
+0.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
23 déc. 25, 22:4418 août 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Thomas Chalifoux74%
Comparer les plateformes· Thomas Chalifoux
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 74% | 0pt | 43,9 € | 27,5 k € | il y a 1 minute | |
 Kalshi88% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 69% | -5pt | 0 € | 4,8 k € | il y a 17 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
FL-09 Republican nominee?
1a
69%
7%
6%
+7 résultats de plus
40 • Faible qualitéSpread largeLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total6,6 k €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$503 juil.11j de données14 juil.
Marchés Associés
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2,3 M €Gavin Newsom: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
1,2 M €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
675 k €Robert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
245,7 k €Before August: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Trump attend The World Cup Final?
229,2 k €Oui: 94%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Republican presidential nominee
174,1 k €J.D. Vance: 41%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as Texas poll shifts focusBlockchain.News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court blow to Trump knocks Newsom to 20.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
After SCOTUS mail vote loss, Trump pushes SAVE Act as Vance holds 19.4%Blockchain.NewsSupreme Court rebuff hits Trump as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%Blockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.