PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 86%
Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
183,6 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
74.7% / 97.7%
Écart
23.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+14.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
14 août 26, 21:27 UTC3 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-03 House Election?
PolymarketFirst Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?
PolymarketFirst Round Outright Winner in the LA-05 House Election?
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiFirst Round Outright Winner in the LA-06 House Election?
PolymarketRègles
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election outright in the first round.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
- If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election? ?
- Polymarket cote Yes à 86% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026.