PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Celina Leão 78%+0.5ptEn tête parmi 10 options
Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
169,6 €
Liquidité
62,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
9.3 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
1
Variation 7j
-13.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
17 août 26, 09:45 UTC4 oct. 26, 06:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Brazil Federal District Governor winner?
KalshiFederal District Senate Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketFederal District Senate Election: 1st Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District
PolymarketWhich party wins the 2026 Iowa Governor Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Federal District Governor Election Winner ?
- Polymarket cote Celina Leão à 78% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Federal District Governor Election Winner sera-t-il résolu ?
- Federal District Governor Election Winner doit être résolu le 4 octobre 2026.
- Comment Federal District Governor Election Winner est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.