PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
40-64 63.1%+3.0ptEn tête parmi 10 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
40-64 63.1%+3.0ptQualité du marché
79 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
10,9 k €
Liquidité
52,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
26 sept. 26, 16:07 UTC30 sept. 26, 16:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Elon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027?
Manifold MarketsAriana Grande: Highest daily view count (September 21, 2026 - September 27, 2026)
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 28 12:00 PM ET to September 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.