PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 96%
Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
2,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.4% / 7.3%
Écart
5.9 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
20 août 26, 00:04 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is not the Chief Executive Officer of Anthropic at the moment Anthropic shares begin trading on their first trading day.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Anthropic has not completed an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on whether Dario Amodei is the Chief Executive Officer of Anthropic at that date and time.
- Only Dario Amodei's status at that moment will be considered.
- A resignation or removal followed by a return to the position before that moment will not affect resolution, and an announced resignation or removal that has not yet taken effect will not be considered.
- Dario Amodei will be considered Chief Executive Officer only if he holds the Chief Executive Officer title, including as co-Chief Executive Officer.
Marchés ouverts
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 85,3 k €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 184,9 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+43.3pt94%
- No-43.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 21,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 20,3 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.0pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is not the Chief Executive Officer of Anthropic at the moment Anthropic shares begin trading on their first trading day.