PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 54.5%+1.0pt
Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
691,7 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
12.0% / 79.0%
Écart
67.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
1 juil. 26, 22:34 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Proposition 5 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026.
- It would eliminate the election to pick a successor immediately after a recall.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Marchés ouverts
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
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- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour California Recall Election Reform Proposition ?
- Polymarket cote No à 54% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand California Recall Election Reform Proposition sera-t-il résolu ?
- California Recall Election Reform Proposition doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment California Recall Election Reform Proposition est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Proposition 5 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026.