PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleDemocratic Party 93%-1.0%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
91 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
2,1 k €
Liquidité
40,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
92.0% / 93.0%
Spread
1.1%
Spread serréVariation 7j
-1.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
28 janv. 26, 6:093 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Democratic Party93%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
CA-01 House winner?
1a
97%
3%
40 • Faible qualitéSpread modéréFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total895,9 €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Marchés Associés
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
516,6 k €Gavin Newsom: 21%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?
467,9 k €John Hickenlooper, ≥9%: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
369,2 k €Hunter Biden: 0%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Republican presidential nominee
60,1 k €Donald J. Trump: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Trump out as President by July 31?
43,8 k €Oui: 1%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
IL-10 House Election Winner
4,8 k €Democratic Party: 94%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.