Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 74%-3.0pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
17,3 €
Liquidité
1,1 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
24.0% / 28.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-6.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
21 août 26, 20:36 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
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Manifold MarketsWill the Massachusetts all-party primary voting format ballot measure pass?
Manifold MarketsWill Alabama pass the mandatory pledge of allegiance in schools ballot measure in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
- This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
