Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Non · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Référence enregistrée
Non 95%
Non 95%Qualité du marché
47 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
67,4 €
Faible liquiditéIntérêt ouvert
158,4 $US
Achat / Vente
— / —
NonÉcart
—
Commentaires
0
Variation 7j
+0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
31 août 26, 18:36 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 0,1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Principaux détenteurs
Chargement des principaux détenteurs
Profondeur du marché · Non
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will MoMA acquire a major generative AI artwork before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any major auction house hold a dedicated NFT auction during Art Basel Miami 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a painting created by an AI sell for over $10 million at a major auction house by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Canadian GDP in 2030 be lower than the combined GDP of Australia and New Zealand?
Manifold MarketsHong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a single AI artwork sells for $10,000,000 or more at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a "major auction house" is restricted to Christie's, Sotheby's, Phillips, Bonhams, China Guardian, or Poly Auction, including any of their salerooms worldwide and their online-only sales.
- Sales conducted by any other auction house, private sales, dealer or gallery sales, and sales on NFT marketplaces or other online platforms will not qualify.
- For the purposes of this market, an "AI artwork" is a lot whose artistic content was generated in substantial part by an artificial intelligence system, including generative models, neural networks, other machine learning systems, or an AI-driven robot, and which is identified as such, by the auction house in the lot description, catalogue entry, or official sale materials, by the relevant artists, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
- Works in which artificial intelligence was used only incidentally, such as for upscaling, retouching, or color correction, works that depict or address artificial intelligence as subject matter without being AI-generated, and works produced solely with conventional digital tools will not qualify.
