Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will MoMA acquire a major generative AI artwork before 2027? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 83% au 24 octobre 2026.

Will MoMA acquire a major generative AI artwork before 2027?

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Oui 83%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes

16 févr. 26, 23:59 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

MoMA's permanent collection contains zero works created primarily by generative AI systems (Midjourney, DALL-E, Stable Diffusion, etc).

This market resolves YES if MoMA officially announces acquiring a work where AI generation is the primary creative medium before Jan 1, 2027.
- Must be permanent collection acquisition (not temporary exhibition)
- "Major" = Work by recognized digital artist OR acquisition price >$50k OR featured in MoMA press release
- AI-assisted works (human+AI collaboration) count if AI is credited as primary medium
- Works using AI for post-processing only = NO