538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
Politique
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Republicans
Preuves de résolution limitées
CoinRithm peut afficher le résultat enregistré, mais tous les champs de règlement ne sont pas vérifiés par le fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Republicans 100%
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 122 jours
Obsolète27 oct. 22, 0:008 nov. 22, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Democrats0%
Republicans100%
100%
0%
Règles
If the FiveThirtyEight graph titled "Do voters want Republicans or Democrats in Congress?" shows Democrats at a greater percentage of support than Republicans for the date of November 8, 2022, at check time, this market will resolve to "Democrats".
- If the same graph shows Republicans at a greater percentage of support than Democrats for November 8, 2022, at the time of the check, this market will resolve to "Republicans".
- If the same graph shows Democrats and Republicans at an equal percentage of support for the resolution date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market is the FiveThirtyEight "Do voters want Republicans or Democrats in Congress?" graph, with the "POLL TYPE" option set to "Generic ballot" and the "CYCLE" option set to "2022".
- The graph is presently located at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/generic-ballot/.
- Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates this graph's figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
