MyriadFerméDonnées vérifiées limitéesCe marché s'est résolu: NO (98.4%)
Preuves de résolution limitées
CoinRithm peut afficher le résultat enregistré, mais tous les champs de règlement ne sont pas vérifiés par le fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 98.4%+0.0pt
Qualite du marche
27 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,2 k €
Liquidité
1,3 k €
Faible liquiditéTraders
228
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 jours
Obsolète17 déc. 25, 15:0931 juil. 26, 23:59
Chronologie des Probabilités
YES1.6%
NO98.4%
98.4%
1.6%
Règles
**Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date to July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** This market will be resolved after the Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
- **Yes/No Criteria:**
- - Resolves to **"Yes"** if both Russia and Ukraine formally agree to a complete ceasefire through an official, publicly announced agreement before or at Resolution Time.
- The agreement must mandate a total cessation of all military operations—including but not limited to ground, air, naval, and cyber warfare—across all territories involved in the conflict (e.g., Ukraine, Russian-occupied territories, and border regions).
- Additionally, the ceasefire must be bilateral, with both Russia and Ukraine explicitly committing to halting all offensive and defensive military actions against each other, and it must apply to the entire conflict zone without geographic exceptions (e.g., it cannot exclude specific regions like Donbas or Crimea). - Resolves to **"No"** if all of the above conditions are not met before the Market Period ends
