Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?
Corporate ActionsIAYearlyBusiness & CorporateTech3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 68.9%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète20 nov. 25, 20:19 UTC31 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Yann LeCun's AMI (props)
Manifold MarketsBy EOY 2026, will Yann LeCun do a 180 on his view of x-risk from AI?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic reaches $1T+ valuation before OpenAI?
Manifold MarketsWill Beyonce release an album that reaches #1 on the "Billboard 200" in 2026?
FutuurLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if LeCun's startup reaches a valuation of $100M or higher by December 31, 2027.
- Valuation will be determined by the most recent funding round, acquisition price, or public market valuation (if applicable) as of the resolution date.
- If the startup is acquired or merges before reaching $100M valuation, the deal valuation at close determines the outcome.
- If the startup dissolves or becomes inactive before the deadline, the market resolves NO.
- Yann LeCun is leaving his job as Meta's chief AI scientist at the end of the year after 12 years at the company, where he was the founding director of Fundamental AI Research (FAIR).
Marchés ouverts
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 48,8 k €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 résultats de plus
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- IPOs before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 69% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria