Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète27 janv. 26, 18:11 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
PolymarketWill Zhang Youxia be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?
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PolymarketRègles
Context: Zhang Youxia was a highly ranked Chinese general in the People's Liberation Army who recently disappeared from the public eye due to a corruption investigation.
- Resolves YES if he is confirmed to be alive and not in prison at any time before 2027.
- Resolves NO if he remains in prison or "disappeared" throughout all of 2026.
- Resolves NO if he is dead.
- Resolves NO if no new information about his whereabouts is revealed.
Marchés ouverts
ChinaPOLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 11,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 40,4 k €
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No+0.5pt73.3%
- Yes-0.5pt26.7%
- Volume total
- 384,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 28,4 k €
POLYMARKETValorant: Bilibili Gaming vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
- Handicap: KBG (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)+59.5pt100%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5+49.5pt100%
- 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5+50.0pt100%
KALSHIChina vs Puerto Rico
- China+1.0pt78.4%
- Puerto Rico21.6%
- Volume total
- 25,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 24,9 k €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- 35,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 22,3 k €
POLYMARKETWorlds 2026 Winning Region
- LCK (South Korea)+0.5pt66%
- LPL (China)25.2%
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)-0.1pt5.8%
+3 résultats de plus
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Unsettled Resentment vs. TEC Esports
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- China vs Puerto Rico: Spread
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Unsettled Resentment (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Puerto Rico vs. China
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Zhang Youxia re-appear in public, alive, by EOY 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Zhang Youxia re-appear in public, alive, by EOY 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Zhang Youxia re-appear in public, alive, by EOY 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Zhang Youxia re-appear in public, alive, by EOY 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Context: Zhang Youxia was a highly ranked Chinese general in the People's Liberation Army who recently disappeared from the public eye due to a corruption investigation.