Will Zhang Youxia re-appear in public, alive, by EOY 2026?
One-OffChineCriminalité et justicePolitique2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88.7%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard27 janv. 26, 18:11 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
PolymarketWill Zhang Youxia be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?
Manifold MarketsJeffery Epstein discovered alive by EOY2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Ohio billionaire Larry Connor go to 'Titanic-level depths' and go back to the surface alive by EOY 2030 ?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman still be alive by EOY 2045?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRègles
Context: Zhang Youxia was a highly ranked Chinese general in the People's Liberation Army who recently disappeared from the public eye due to a corruption investigation.
- Resolves YES if he is confirmed to be alive and not in prison at any time before 2027.
- Resolves NO if he remains in prison or "disappeared" throughout all of 2026.
- Resolves NO if he is dead.
- Resolves NO if no new information about his whereabouts is revealed.