Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 74.7%
Prévisionnistes
42
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète20 mai 23, 21:07 UTC1 janv. 41, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves NO if, at any point during his life, Xi is no longer considered the most powerful leader in China.
- Resolves YES if he dies at the top.
- I will extend this market indefinitely as necessary.
- This may be biased toward NO, since he's only 69 and YES holders might have to wait decades to get their payout.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
