Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Will Stancil be a member of the GOP within 5 years? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 90.4% au 31 octobre 2026.

Quand Will Will Stancil be a member of the GOP within 5 years? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will Will Stancil be a member of the GOP within 5 years? doit être résolu le 31 octobre 2028.

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 90.4%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 2 heures

Obsolète

23 oct. 23, 21:14 UTC31 oct. 28, 06:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

[tweet]Some things that would count for resolution:

Evidence of him registering for the Republican Party
Voting in at least 2 consecutive elections for the GOP candidate in his district/for president
A statement from him that he's switched parties or identifies more with the GOP now
Just to be clear, what wouldn't count is people saying he "might as well" be GOP over his objections.