Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85%
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 56 minutes
En retard14 juin 24, 06:37 UTC1 janv. 31, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will housing prices in Arlington VA fall by more then 15% in two years.
Manifold MarketsUS housing starts for October
KalshiWill US Housing Starts exceed 1,400,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US Housing Starts exceed 1,500,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US Housing Starts exceed 1,600,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US Housing Starts exceed 1,300,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExRègles
This market resolves to "Yes" if at any point between June 13, 2024 and December 31, 2030, the S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index experiences a drop of 20% or more from its previous peak value.
- Resolution Criteria:
- Data Source: The data source for determining housing prices will be the S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index.
- Calculation Method:
- Identify the peak monthly values of the S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index from June 2024 to December 2030.
- Monitor the index values following the peak.