🏛️ Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 🏛️
PolitiqueOne-OffUS Politics3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète22 juin 26, 23:02 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
YES if, before Jan 1, 2027, a federal statute is enacted that meaningfully limits or overrides states’ ability to regulate AI systems.
- NO otherwise.
- Definition of “substantially preempts”
- Counts as YES if the law does at least one of the following:
- Bans or freezes state AI regulation for any meaningful period (e.g., moratorium)
- Establishes federal AI rules that explicitly override conflicting state laws
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 🏛️ Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 🏛️ ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 85% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand 🏛️ Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 🏛️ sera-t-il résolu ?
- 🏛️ Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 🏛️ doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment 🏛️ Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 🏛️ est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : YES if, before Jan 1, 2027, a federal statute is enacted that meaningfully limits or overrides states’ ability to regulate AI systems.