Will Brazil's Congress pass limited-duration terms for STF justices in 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffAmérique latine2mois
FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
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Non 83%Qualité du marché
31 / 100
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463 €
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This event predicts whether Brazil’s National Congress will approve a constitutional amendment establishing fixed-term (limited-duration) mandates for justices of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official congressional records confirming approval of a constitutional amendment setting term limits for STF justices.
- If Brazil’s Congress approves a constitutional amendment that establishes fixed-term mandates for STF justices during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Approval of term limits that apply only to future justices, without affecting current justices, will still count as "Yes".
- If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Brazilian news organizations.
