Will Trump get his third impeachment before 2027?
One-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineGéopolitiqueMoyen-Orient2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
16 mars 26, 16:05 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump get a third term in office?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)
Manifold MarketsPoll says more than 50% of Republicans OK with Trump third term?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
PolymarketNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria
- A simple majority is needed in the House for impeachment.
- The market resolves YES if the House of Representatives votes to impeach Trump for a third time before January 1, 2027.
- The market resolves NO if no third impeachment vote occurs by that date.
- Resolution will be determined by official House voting records available at Congress.gov.
- Trump was impeached twice during his first term, with his second impeachment occurring a week before he left office.
