Trillions: Will there be two more trillionaires besides Elon Musk by February 28, 2029? (2/28/29)
ActionsOne-OffEntreprises et affairesTechEspace2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 52.3%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète3 août 26, 15:47 UTC27 févr. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point on or before February 28, 2029, at least two individuals other than Elon Musk are officially reported to have a net worth of $1.00 trillion USD ($1,000,000,000,000) or more.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Sources of Truth: The primary sources for resolving this market will be the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List and the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
- Validation: If either of these lists officially records an individual's net worth at or above $1.00 trillion (which may be displayed as $1,000 billion, $1,000.0B, or $1.00T), that individual will be counted.
- Exclusion: Elon Musk is excluded from the count of "two more trillionaires." Any other distinct individuals (e.g., Jeff Bezos, Jensen Huang, Gautam Adani, Larry Page) who reach the milestone will count toward the target.
