SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
0.2% (24h)ExchangeOne-OffIASpaceCorporate ActionsEquitiesTechBusiness & Corporate1a
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleSpaceX 97%
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
949,4 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
96.0% / 97.8%
Spread
1.9%
Spread serréVariation 7j
-1.2%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
30 janv. 26, 23:1931 déc. 27, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
SpaceX97%
Tendance du volume
$112 juil.16j de données20 juil.
Marchés Associés
SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?
0 €Below 0.5T: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
4,1 k €SpaceX: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of July
17,6 €$1.0T-$1.5T: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
2,8 k €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
244,9 €No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 31.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSCombined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX
44,4 €Under $3T: 1.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
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This market will resolve to “SpaceX” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
- This market will resolve to “OpenAI” if the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
- This market will resolve to the company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, if the other company does not complete an IPO within the market timeframe.
- This market will resolve to the IPOed company as soon as it becomes impossible for the other company to complete an IPO within the market timeframe, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. - Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO within this market's timeframe, and their IPO closing market capitalizations are exactly equal. - Both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.