SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
0.2 pts (24h)ExchangeOne-OffIASpaceCorporate ActionsEquitiesTechBusiness & Corporate1a
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
SpaceX 53%+0.2pt
Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
188,2 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
26.7% / 79.0%
Écart
52.3 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
5
Variation 7j
-10.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
30 janv. 26, 23:19 UTC31 déc. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
PolymarketOpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
PolymarketWhich bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?
KalshiWill Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI completes an IPO in 2026 and has a market cap of $1 trillion+?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “SpaceX” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
- This market will resolve to “OpenAI” if the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
- This market will resolve to the company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, if the other company does not complete an IPO within the market timeframe.
- This market will resolve to the IPOed company as soon as it becomes impossible for the other company to complete an IPO within the market timeframe, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. - Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO within this market's timeframe, and their IPO closing market capitalizations are exactly equal. - Both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
