Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 76.1%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète18 nov. 25, 00:42 UTC31 déc. 30, 15:26 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Wicked still be on Broadway at the end of June 2029?
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KalshiWhen will Paul Thomas Anderson’s next feature film be released?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Universal Pictures officially announces a third theatrical film in the Wicked movie franchise.
- The announcement must come from Universal Pictures or a major entertainment news outlet (Variety, Deadline, The Hollywood Reporter, or similar) confirming that a "Wicked 3" or equivalent third installment is in development or greenlit for theatrical release.
- This market resolves NO if: (1) Universal does not announce a third film by December 31, 2030, or (2) Universal explicitly states the franchise will conclude with two films, or (3) any announced third installment is cancelled before theatrical release.
- The Wicked film adaptation is structured as a two-part film that tells the story of Elphaba and Glinda's friendship and rivalry in the Land of Oz before and after the arrival of Dorothy Gale from Kansas.
- Wicked: For Good is scheduled to be released on November 21, 2025.
