Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 91.3%
Prévisionnistes
28
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète1 févr. 26, 23:13 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be a unicorn with no human employees by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
PolymarketWhich bubble bursts first?
MyriadWho IPOs first?
MyriadWill OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
PolymarketWill the AI-generated Bitcoin song "Chain of Infinite" by Lunr Reverb go viral and reach 1,000,000 streams before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
E.g. a startup with an OpenClaw CEO
- Definition of "zero human employee startup" for the purposes of this market:
- Receives angel/VC investment of at least $10K USD or equivalent in another (crypto)currency, or bootstraps itself to $10K+ USD by doing immediately-profitable work
- Engages in economically-useful work, validated by either:
- Appreciation from humans (who are not sockpuppets)
- Profiting from selling products and/or services to other AIs
