Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 54.8%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
3 mars 24, 20:59 UTC2 janv. 31, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a single-person unicorn before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a one-person unicorn by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a single-person funded, owned and operated unicorn before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRègles
Will resolve true if there is a company valued at $1b dollars on December 31st 2030, which only has one meaningful human employee.
- If it has human contractors doing a total of more than 40 hours per week, it doesn't count.
