Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 65%
Prévisionnistes
93
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard6 févr. 24, 10:41 UTC1 janv. 31, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a single-person unicorn before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a single-person unicorn before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketAnthropic closing market cap on IPO day?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
The outcome is true if by the end of 2030 a public company achieves the market cap of 1 billion dollars while having only one funder and employee.
- Or a one-person private company raises enough money that places it at a valuation above 1B, reported in a reputable news source.
- https://fortune.com/2024/02/04/sam-altman-one-person-unicorn-silicon-valley-founder-myth/
- For the purpose of this market and to ensure that the company is not just a scam,with "enough money" we mean over 10$ million.
- Update 2025-08-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Employee is meant in the legal sense.
- External consultants/contractors are allowed and do not count as employees.
