Will the US Navy commission more than five Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionGéopolitique19aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 52.6%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète30 sept. 23, 01:20 UTC31 déc. 45, 15:59 UTC
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Règles
Commissioning is the formal entry into service of a ship, not the act of ordering its construction.
- Resolves YES if the US commissions a sixth Ford-class carrier.
- Resolves NO if the US formally commits not to construct and commission a sixth Ford-class carrier AND a US presidential election has taken place subsequent to that decision AND the decision is not reversed by the winner of that election (three months after swearing in)
- The NO criteria seem a bit over the top, but apart from applying 'by X year' instead, which I don't want to do, they may be the best choice.
