Will the US have a President not nominated by either Republican or Democratic party by 2050?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 84.4%
Non 84.4%Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète5 févr. 23, 12:33 UTC5 févr. 50, 19:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Democratic party be banned before 2050
Manifold MarketsWho will be US President after Joe Biden's successor?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a third party US president before 2050.
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true about at least one US president elected before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill the Democratic Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExRègles
Not counting the ones who were Presidents before the current Republican-or-Democratic streak.
